Publications/Preprints (comments welcomed)  Asterisk indicates student author.

My public Google Scholar page is here.

Dee, S.G.*, J. Emile-Geay, M.N. Evans, A. Allam, E.J. Steig, D.M. Thompson, PRYSM: open source tools for PRoxY System Modeling v1.0: oxygen-isotope systems, JAMES, submitted.

Comboul, M., J. Emile-Geay, G.J. Hakim, M.N. Evans, 2015: Paleoclimate sampling as a sensor placement problem, J. Clim., submitted.

McGregor, H.V., M.N. Evans, H. Goosse, G. Leduc, B. Martrat, J.A. Addison, P.G. Mortyn, D.W. Oppo, M.-S. Seidenkrantz, M.-A. Sicre, S.J. Phipps, K. Selvaraj, K. Thirumalai, H.L. Filipsson, V. Ersek, 2015: Robust global ocean cooling trend for the pre-industrial Common Era, Nat. Geosci., revised.

Zhang, Q.-B., M.N. Evans, and Lv, L., 2015: Moisture difference between the southern and northern Tibetan Plateau over the past five and a half centuries, Nature Comm., revised.

Tierney, J.E., N.J. Abram, K.J. Anchukaitis, M.N. Evans, C. Giry, K.H. Kilbourne, C.P. Saenger, H.C. Wu, J. Zinke, 2015: Tropical sea surface temperature for the past four centuries reconstructed from coral archives, Paleoceanography, 30, DOI: 10.1001/2014PA002717.

Evans, M.N., J.E. Smerdon, A. Kaplan, S.E. Tolwinski-Ward and J.F. Gonzalez-Rouco, 2014: Climate field reconstruction uncertainty arising from multivariate and nonlinear properties of predictors, Geophysical Res. Lett., DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062063.

Kaufman, D. and 22 others, 2014: A community-driven framework for climate reconstructions, EOS Trans. AGU, 95(40), 361.

Boysen, B.M.M.*, M.N. Evans, P.J. Baker, 2014: δ18O in the tropical conifer Agathis robusta records ENSO-related precipitation variations, PLOS One, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0102336

Tolwinski-Ward, S.E.*, M.P. Tingley, M.N. Evans, M.K. Hughes, D.W. Nychka, 2014: Probabilistic reconstructions of local temperature and soil moisture from tree-ring data with potentially time-varying climatic response,  Clim. Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-014-2139-z.

Comboul, M.E., J. Emile-Geay, M.N. Evans, N. Mirnateghi, K.M. Cobb and D.M. Thompson*, 2014: A  probabilistic model of chronological errors in layer-counted climate proxies: applications to annually-banded coral archives, Clim. Past., 10, 825-841, doi:10.5194/cp-10-825-2014.

Tolwinski-Ward*, S.E., K.J. Anchukaitis and M.N. Evans, 2013: Bayesian parameter estimation and interpretation for an intermediate model of tree-ring width, Clim. Past, 9, 1481-1493, pdf and supplementary materials (zipfile).

Evans, M.N., S.E. Tolwinski-Ward*, D.M. Thompson*, K.J. Anchukaitis, 2013: Applications of proxy system modeling in high resolution paleoclimatology, Quaternary Science Reviews, 76, 16-28, pdf.

Anchukaitis, K.J., P. Breitenmoser, K.R. Briffa, A. Buchwal, U. Buntgen, E.R. Cook, R.D. D'Arrigo, J. Esper, M.N. Evans, D. Frank, H. Grudd, B. Gunnarson, M.K. Hughes, A.V. Kirdyanov, C. Korner, P.J. Krusic, B. Luckman, T.M. Melvin, M.W. Salzer, A.V. Shashkin, C. Timmreck, E.A. Vaganov, R.J.S. Wilson, 2012: Tree rings and volcanic cooling, Nature Geoscience, 5, 836-837. Copyright Nature Publishing Group.

Ocean2k Project Members, 2012: Ocean2K: Placing historical marine conditions in the context of the past 2000 years, CLIVAR Exchanges, 58(17(1)), 15-17.  PDF.

Evans, M.N., H. Goosse, T. Kiefer, V. Maisson-Delmotte, H.V. McGregor and D.W. Oppo, 2012: Ocean2k Working Group - Call for participation, PAGES News, 20(1).  PDF.

*Thompson, D.M., *T.R. Ault, M.N. Evans, J.E. Cole, and J. Emile-Geay, 2011: Comparison of observed and simulated tropical climate trends using a forward model of coral δ18O. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2011GL048224, PDF; supplemental information is hereCopyright AGU.

Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan, E. Zorita, J.F. González-Rouco, and M.N. Evans, 2011: Spatial Performance of Four Climate Field Reconstruction Methods Targeting the Common Era, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2011GL047372, PDF; supplemental information is hereCopyright AGU.

*Tolwinski-Ward, S.E.*, M.N. Evans, M.K. Hughes, K.J. Anchukaitis, 2011: An efficient forward model of the climate controls on interannual variation in tree-ring width, Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0945-5 (PDF; 1.5Mb).  An Erratum is in Vol. 36(11-12), 2441-2445, doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1062-9 (PDF; 560Kb).    VS-Lite code (as of 7/14/2011: VS-Lite code updated) is locally here or at the WDCA-Paleo, here.    Copyright Springer-Verlag.

Vaganov, E.A., K.J. Anchukaitis* and M.N. Evans, 2011: How well understood are the processes that create dendroclimatic records?  A mechanistic model of the climatic control on conifer tree-ring growth dynamics, M.K. Hughes, T.W. Swetnam and H.F. Diaz (eds), Dendroclimatology: Progress and Prospects, Springer-Verlag.  PDF (900Kb).  Copyright Springer-Verlag.

Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan, D. Chiang, M.N. Evans, 2010: A pseudoproxy evaluation of methods used for reconstructing climate of the past millenium, J. Climate, 23, 4856-4880, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI4110.1.  (PDF; 21Mb).  Copyright AMS.

Anchukaitis, K.J.* and M.N. Evans, 2010: Tropical cloud forest climate variability and the demise of the Monteverde Golden Toad, Proc. Nat'l Acad. Sci., doi: 10.1073/pnas.0908572107Answers to frequently asked questions, including data and codes, are here.  A link to a news piece on this work is here.  Copyright NAS.

Wilson, R.J.S., 
E.R. Cook, E., R.D. D’Arrigo, N. Riedwyl, M.N. Evans, A.W. Tudhope and R.J. Allan, R., 2010: Reconstructing ENSO – Methods, Proxy Data and Teleconnections. Journal of Quaternary Science, 25(1), Special Issue SI, 62-78, doi: 10.1002/jqs.1297.  (PDF; 1.1Mb).  Copyright Wiley and Sons Ltd.

Ault*, T.R., J.E. Cole, M.N. Evans, H. Barnett, N.J. Abram, A.W. Tudhope, B.K. Linsley, 2009: Intensified decadal tropical climate variability in the last 19th century, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36,  L08602, DOI: 10.1029/2008GL036924. (PDF; 2.0Mb) and supplementary material (PDF; 3.2 Mb). Copyright American Geophysical Union.

Evans, M.N., 2008: A reactor for high temperature pyrolysis and oxygen isotopic analysis of cellulose via induction heating, Rapid Comm. Mass Spectrom., 22: 2211-2219, DOI:10.1002/rcm.3603.  PDF (1.1Mb).  Copyright Wiley Interscience.

Anchukaitis*, K.J., M.N. Evans, N.T. Wheelwright, D.P. Schrag, 2008: Stable isotope chronology and climate signal calibration in neotropical montane cloud forest trees, J. Geophys. Res., 113, G03030, DOI: 10.1029/2007JG000613.  PDF (2.0Mb).  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

Anchukaitis*, K.J., M.N. Evans, T. Lange, D.R. Smith, S.W. Leavitt and D.P. Schrag, 2008: Purity and isotopic results from a rapid cellulose extraction method, Analytical Chemistry, 10.1021/ac7020272. PDF (240Kb) Copyright American Chemical Society.

St. George*, R.S., D.M. Meko, and M.N. Evans, 2007: Regional tree growth and inferred summer climate in the Winnipeg River Basin, Canada, since AD 1783, Quaternary Research, 70(2), 158-172, DOI:10.1016/j.yqres.2008.04.009.  PDF (1.6Mb).  Copyright Elsevier.

Evans, M.N., 2007: Toward forward modeling for paleoclimatic proxy signal calibration: a case study with oxygen isotopic composition of tropical woods, Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, 8, Q07008, DOI:10.1029/2006GC001406.  PDF (528Kb).  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

Clement, A.C., J. Emile-Geay, R. Seager, M. Cane and M.N. Evans, 2006: Solar forcing of the tropical Pacific climate and impacts over North America for the last millennium, PAGES News, 14(2), 12-14.  PDF (397Kb.)

Evans, M.N., 2006: The woods fill up with snow.  Nature, 440, 1120-1.  PDF (160Kb).  A link to the published version is here.  A link to the paper by Treydte et al is here.  A link to the data used to create Figure 1 in the News and Views piece is here.    Copyright Nature Publishing Group.

Evans§, M.N., B.K. Reichert§, A. Kaplan, K.J. Anchukaitis*, E.A. Vaganov, M.K. Hughes and M.A. Cane, 2006: A forward modeling approach to paleoclimatic interpretation of tree-ring data, J. Geophys. Res., 111, G03008, doi:10.1029/2006JG000166 [§These two authors contributed equally to this work.] PDF (736 Kb).   Copyright American Geophysical Union.

Anchukaitis*, K.J., M.N. Evans, A. Kaplan, E.A. Vaganov, H.D. Grissino-Mayer, M.K. Hughes, and M.A. Cane, 2006: Forward modeling of regional-scale tree-ring patterns in the southeastern United States and the recent influence of summer drought,  Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L04705, doi:10.1029/2005GL025050.  PDF (300 Kb).  Supporting materials are here (3.2 Mb).  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

Rodriguez, R., A. Mabres, B. Luckman, M. Evans, M. Masiokas and T. Ektvedt*,  2005: “El Niño” events recorded in dry-forest species of the lowlands of northwest Peru, Dendrochronologia, 22, 181-187.  PDF  (561kb).  Copyright Elsevier Press.

Evans, M.N., 2005: Review of Weather Cycles: Real or Imaginary?  (2nd ed.) by W.J. Burroughs, Cambridge University Press, 2003, 330p.  In Oceanography, 18(1), March, The Oceanography Society. PDF (179Kb).  Posted with permission of The Oceanography Society.

Evans, M.N. and A. Kaplan, 2004: The Pacific sector Hadley and Walker Circulation in historical marine wind analyses: Potential for reconstruction from proxy data, in H.F. Diaz and R.S. Bradley (eds.), The Hadley Circulation: Past, Present, Future, Vol. 21 in: Advances in Global Change Research,  Springer (ISBN: 1-4020-2943-8), 511pp.  PDF (1.3Mb).  Copyright Springer-Verlag.

Poussart, P.F., M.N. Evans and D.P. Schrag, 2004: Resolving seasonality in tropical trees: multi-decade, high-resolution oxygen and carbon isotopic records from Indonesia and Thailand, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 218, 301-316.  PDF (946Kb). Copyright Elsevier Press.

Evans, M.N. and D.P. Schrag, 2004: A stable isotope-based approach to tropical dendroclimatology, Geochim. et Cosmochim. Acta, 68(16), 3295-3305, DOI: 10.1016/j.gca.2004.01.006 (Copyright 2004 Elsevier Ltd.). PDF (421Kb)Copyright Elsevier Press.

Evans, M.N., Alexey Kaplan and Mark A. Cane, 2002: Pacific sea surface temperature field reconstruction from coral δ18O data using reduced space objective analysis, Paleoceanography, 17, DOI: 10.1029/2000PA000590.  PDF (1.4Mb)  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

Evans, M.N., M.A. Cane, D.P. Schrag, Alexey Kaplan, B.K. Linsley, R. Villalba and G.M. Wellington, 2001: Support for tropically-driven Pacific decadal variability based on paleoproxy evidence, Geophysical Research Letters, 28, 3,689-3692. PDF (170Kb)  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

Bond, G.C., B. Kromer, J. Beer, R. Muscheler, M.N. Evans, W. Showers, S. Hoffman, R. Lotti-Bond, I. Hajdas, and G. Bonani, 2001: Persistent Solar Influence on North Atlantic Climate During the Holocene, Science, 294, 2130-2136.  PDF (831Kb).  Copyright AAAS.

Evans, M.N., A. Kaplan, M.A. Cane and R. Villalba, 2001: Globality and Optimality in Climate Field Reconstructions from Proxy Data, in V. Markgraf (ed.), Interhemispheric Climate Linkages, Cambridge University Press, pp. 53-72.   PDF (4.5Mb).  Copyright Cambridge University Press.

Cane, M.A. and M.N. Evans, 2000: Do the Tropics Rule? Science, 290, 1107-1108.  Copyright AAAS.

Evans, M.N., Alexey Kaplan and Mark A. Cane, 2000: Intercomparison of coral oxygen isotope data and historical sea surface temperature (SST): Potential for coral-based SST field reconstructions, Paleoceanography, 15(5): 551-563.   PDF (540Kb).  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

Black, D.E., L.C. Peterson, J.T. Overpeck, A. Kaplan, M.N. Evans, and M. Kashgarian, M., 1999: Eight centuries of North Atlantic Ocean Atmosphere Variability, Science, 286, 1709-1713.   PDF (443Kb).  Copyright AAAS.

Cook, E.R. and M.N. Evans, 1999: Improving estimates of drought variability and extremes from centuries-long tree ring chronologies: A PAGES/CLIVAR example, PAGES/CLIVAR Newsletter, 8(1):9-10.  PDF (188Kb).

Evans, M.N., R.G. Fairbanks, and J.L. Rubenstone, 1999: The thermal oceanographic signal of ENSO reconstructed from a Kiritimati Island coral, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 13,409-13,421.  PDF (640Kb).  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

Bond, G.C., W. Showers, M. Elliot, M. Evans, R. Lotti, and S.  Johnson, 1999: Tracing the North Atlantic's ~1.5 kyr Climate Cycle to 80 Kyrs B.P. - Relation to Heinrich Events, Dansgaard/Oeschger Cycles and the Little Ice Age, in Mechanisms of Global Climate Change at Millennial Time Scales, ed. P.U. Clark, R.S. Webb, and L.D. Keigwin. Washington, D.C.: American Geophysical Union, Geophysical Monograph Series, 112.  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

Evans, M.N., A. Kaplan, and M.A. Cane, 1998: Optimal sites for coral-based reconstruction of global sea surface temperature, Paleoceanography 13: 502-516.  PDF (1.3Mb).  Copyright by the American Geophysical Union.

Evans, M.N., R.G. Fairbanks and J.L. Rubenstone, 1998: A proxy index of ENSO teleconnections, Nature, 394, 732-3.  PDF (281Kb).  Copyright Macmillan Magazines Ltd.
Fairbanks, R.G., M.N. Evans, J.L. Rubenstone, R.A. Mortlock, K. Broad, M.D. Moore, and C.D. Charles, 1997: Evaluating climate indices and their geochemical proxies measured in corals, Coral Reefs, 16(Suppl.), S93-S100.  PDF (440Kb).  Copyright Springer-Verlag.


Last updated April 2, 2015.