Publications/Preprints (comments welcomed)  Asterisk indicates student author.

My public Google Scholar page is here.

2016 Abram, N.J., H.V. McGregor, J.E. Tierney, M.N. Evans, N.P. McKay, D.S. Kaufman and the PAGES 2k Consortium, Early onset of industrial-era warming across the oceans and continents, Nature 536, 411-418, DOI: 10.1038/nature19082, dataset and reconstructions archived as: Global and Regional 500 Year Temperature Reconstructions, , 8/2016.

2016 Evans, M.N., K.J. Selmer*, B.T. Breeden, A.S. Lopatka*, R.E. Plummer, Correction algorithm for on-line continuous flow δ13C and δ18O carbonate and cellulose stable isotope analyses, G-Cubed, DOI: 10.1002/2016GC006469.

2016 Lorrey, A.M., T.H. Brookman*, M.N. Evans, N.C. Fauchereau, C. Macinnis-Ng, M.A. Barbour, A. Criscitiello, G. Eischeid, A.M. Fowler, T.W. Horton and D.P. Schrag, Stable oxygen isotope signatures of early season wood in New Zealand kauri (Agathis australis) tree rings: Prospects for palaeoclimate reconstruction, Dendrochronologia, 40, 1-14, DOI: 10.1016/j.dendro.2016.03.012.

2016 Zeng, X.*, X. Liu, M.N. Evans, W. Wang, W. An, G. Xu, G. Wu, Seasonal incursion of Indian monsoon humidity and precipitation onto the southeastern Tibetan Plateau inferred from intra-seasonal resolution tree ring oxygen isotopic measurements, Earth and Planetary Sci. Letters, 443, 9-19, DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2016.03.011.
2015 PAGES2k-PMIP3 group, Continental-scale temperature variability in PMIP3 simulations and PAGES 2k regional temperature reconstructions over the past millennium, Clim. Past., DOI: 10.5194/cp-11-1673-2015,

2015 McGregor, H.V., M.N. Evans, H. Goosse, G. Leduc, B. Martrat, J.A. Addison, P.G. Mortyn, D.W. Oppo, M.-S. Seidenkrantz, M.-A. Sicre, S.J. Phipps, K. Selvaraj, K. Thirumalai, H.L. Filipsson and V. Ersek, Robust global ocean cooling trend for the pre-industial Common Era, Nat. Geosci., DOI: 10.1038/NGEO2510, dataset archived as: PAGES Ocean2k Synthesis Data Set, 8/2015.

2015 Comboul, M.E., J. Emile-Geay, G.J. Hakim, and M.N. Evans, Paleoclimate sampling as a sensor placement problem, J. Clim., 28(19), 7717-7740, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00802.1.

2015 Dee, S.*, J. Emile-Geay, M.N. Evans, A. Allam, E.J. Steig, and D.M. Thompson, PRYSM: An open-source framework for PRoxY System Modeling, with applications to oxygen isotope systems, J. Adv. Mod. Earth Sys., 7(3), 1220-1247, DOI: 10.1002/2015MS000447.

2015 Tierney, J.E., N.J. Abram, K.J. Anchukaitis, M.N. Evans, C. Giry, K.H. Kilbourne, C.P. Saenger, H.C. Wu, J. Zinke, Tropical sea surface temperature for the past four centuries reconstructed from coral archives, Paleoceanography, 30, doi: 10.1001/2014PA002717, dataset and reconstructions archived as: PAGES Ocean2K 400 Year Coral Data and
  Tropical SST Reconstructions,  3/2015.

2015 Zhang, Q.-B., M.N. Evans, and Lyu, L., Moisture difference between the southern and northern Tibetan Plateau over the past five and a half centuries, Nature Comm., 6, DOI: 10.1038/ncomms9062.

2014 Evans, M.N., J.E. Smerdon, A. Kaplan, S.E. Tolwinski-Ward and J.F. Gonzalez-Rouco, Climate field reconstruction uncertainty arising from multivariate and nonlinear properties of predictors, Geophysical Res. Lett., DOI: 10.1002/2014GL062063.

2014 Kaufman, D. and 22 others, A community-driven framework for climate reconstructions, EOS Trans. AGU, 95(40), 361.

2014 Boysen, B.M.M.*, M.N. Evans, P.J. Baker, δ18O in the tropical conifer Agathis robusta records ENSO-related precipitation variations, PLOS One, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0102336

2014 Tolwinski-Ward, S.E.*, M.P. Tingley, M.N. Evans, M.K. Hughes, D.W. Nychka, Probabilistic reconstructions of local temperature and soil moisture from tree-ring data with potentially time-varying climatic response,  Clim. Dyn., DOI 10.1007/s00382-014-2139-z.

2014 Comboul, M.E., J. Emile-Geay, M.N. Evans, N. Mirnateghi, K.M. Cobb and D.M. Thompson, A  probabilistic model of chronological errors in layer-counted climate proxies: applications to annually-banded coral archives, Clim. Past., 10, 825-841, doi:10.5194/cp-10-825-2014.

2013 Tolwinski-Ward*, S.E., K.J. Anchukaitis and M.N. Evans, Bayesian parameter estimation and interpretation for an intermediate model of tree-ring width, Clim. Past, 9, 1481-1493, pdf and supplementary materials (zipfile).

2013 Evans, M.N., S.E. Tolwinski-Ward*, D.M. Thompson*, K.J. Anchukaitis, Applications of proxy system modeling in high resolution paleoclimatology, Quaternary Science Reviews, 76, 16-28, pdf.

2012 Anchukaitis, K.J., P. Breitenmoser, K.R. Briffa, A. Buchwal, U. Buntgen, E.R. Cook, R.D. D'Arrigo, J. Esper, M.N. Evans, D. Frank, H. Grudd, B. Gunnarson, M.K. Hughes, A.V. Kirdyanov, C. Korner, P.J. Krusic, B. Luckman, T.M. Melvin, M.W. Salzer, A.V. Shashkin, C. Timmreck, E.A. Vaganov, R.J.S. Wilson, Tree rings and volcanic cooling, Nature Geoscience, 5, 836-837. Copyright Nature Publishing Group.

2012 Ocean2k Project Members, Ocean2K: Placing historical marine conditions in the context of the past 2000 years, CLIVAR Exchanges, 58(17(1)), 15-17.  PDF.

2012 Evans, M.N., H. Goosse, T. Kiefer, V. Maisson-Delmotte, H.V. McGregor and D.W. Oppo, Ocean2k Working Group - Call for participation, PAGES News, 20(1).  PDF.

2011 Thompson, D.M.*, T.R. Ault*, M.N. Evans, J.E. Cole, and J. Emile-Geay, Comparison of observed and simulated tropical climate trends using a forward model of coral δ18O. Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2011GL048224, PDF; supplemental information is hereCopyright AGU.

2011 Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan, E. Zorita, J.F. González-Rouco, and M.N. Evans, Spatial Performance of Four Climate Field Reconstruction Methods Targeting the Common Era, Geophys. Res. Lett., doi: 10.1029/2011GL047372, PDF; supplemental information is hereCopyright AGU.

2011 Tolwinski-Ward, S.E.*, M.N. Evans, M.K. Hughes, K.J. Anchukaitis, An efficient forward model of the climate controls on interannual variation in tree-ring width, Clim. Dyn., doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0945-5 (PDF; 1.5Mb).  An Erratum is in Vol. 36(11-12), 2441-2445, doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1062-9 (PDF; 560Kb).    VS-Lite code (as of 7/14/2011: VS-Lite code updated) is locally here or at the WDCA-Paleo, here.    Copyright Springer-Verlag.

2011 Vaganov, E.A., K.J. Anchukaitis and M.N. Evans, How well understood are the processes that create dendroclimatic records?  A mechanistic model of the climatic control on conifer tree-ring growth dynamics, M.K. Hughes, T.W. Swetnam and H.F. Diaz (eds), Dendroclimatology: Progress and Prospects, Springer-Verlag.  PDF (900Kb).  Copyright Springer-Verlag.

2010 Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan, D. Chiang, M.N. Evans, A pseudoproxy evaluation of methods used for reconstructing climate of the past millenium, J. Climate, 23, 4856-4880, doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI4110.1.  (PDF; 21Mb).  Copyright AMS.

2010 Anchukaitis, K.J.* and M.N. Evans, Tropical cloud forest climate variability and the demise of the Monteverde Golden Toad, Proc. Nat'l Acad. Sci., doi: 10.1073/pnas.0908572107Answers to frequently asked questions, including data and codes, are here.  A link to a news piece on this work is here.  Copyright NAS.

2010 Wilson, R.J.S., 
E.R. Cook, E., R.D. D’Arrigo, N. Riedwyl, M.N. Evans, A.W. Tudhope and R.J. Allan, R., 2010: Reconstructing ENSO – Methods, Proxy Data and Teleconnections. Journal of Quaternary Science, 25(1), Special Issue SI, 62-78, doi: 10.1002/jqs.1297.  (PDF; 1.1Mb).  Copyright Wiley and Sons Ltd.

2009 Ault*, T.R., J.E. Cole, M.N. Evans, H. Barnett*, N.J. Abram, A.W. Tudhope, B.K. Linsley, Intensified decadal tropical climate variability in the last 19th century, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36,  L08602, DOI: 10.1029/2008GL036924. (PDF; 2.0Mb) and supplementary material (PDF; 3.2 Mb). Copyright American Geophysical Union.

2008 Evans, M.N., A reactor for high temperature pyrolysis and oxygen isotopic analysis of cellulose via induction heating, Rapid Comm. Mass Spectrom., 22: 2211-2219, DOI:10.1002/rcm.3603.  PDF (1.1Mb).  Copyright Wiley Interscience.

2008 Anchukaitis*, K.J., M.N. Evans, N.T. Wheelwright, D.P. Schrag, Stable isotope chronology and climate signal calibration in neotropical montane cloud forest trees, J. Geophys. Res., 113, G03030, DOI: 10.1029/2007JG000613.  PDF (2.0Mb).  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

2008 Anchukaitis*, K.J., M.N. Evans, T. Lange, D.R. Smith, S.W. Leavitt and D.P. Schrag, Purity and isotopic results from a rapid cellulose extraction method, Analytical Chemistry, 10.1021/ac7020272. PDF (240Kb) Copyright American Chemical Society.

2007 St. George*, R.S., D.M. Meko, and M.N. Evans, Regional tree growth and inferred summer climate in the Winnipeg River Basin, Canada, since AD 1783, Quaternary Research, 70(2), 158-172, DOI:10.1016/j.yqres.2008.04.009.  PDF (1.6Mb).  Copyright Elsevier.

2007 Evans, M.N., Toward forward modeling for paleoclimatic proxy signal calibration: a case study with oxygen isotopic composition of tropical woods, Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, 8, Q07008, DOI:10.1029/2006GC001406.  PDF (528Kb).  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

2006 Clement, A.C., J. Emile-Geay, R. Seager, M. Cane and M.N. Evans, Solar forcing of the tropical Pacific climate and impacts over North America for the last millennium, PAGES News, 14(2), 12-14.  PDF (397Kb.)

2006 Evans, M.N., The woods fill up with snow.  Nature, 440, 1120-1.  PDF (160Kb).  A link to the published version is here.  A link to the paper by Treydte et al is here.  A link to the data used to create Figure 1 in the News and Views piece is here.    Copyright Nature Publishing Group.

2006 Evans§, M.N., B.K. Reichert§, A. Kaplan, K.J. Anchukaitis*, E.A. Vaganov, M.K. Hughes and M.A. Cane, A forward modeling approach to paleoclimatic interpretation of tree-ring data, J. Geophys. Res., 111, G03008, doi:10.1029/2006JG000166 [§These two authors contributed equally to this work.] PDF (736 Kb).   Copyright American Geophysical Union.

2006 Anchukaitis*, K.J., M.N. Evans, A. Kaplan, E.A. Vaganov, H.D. Grissino-Mayer, M.K. Hughes, and M.A. Cane, Forward modeling of regional-scale tree-ring patterns in the southeastern United States and the recent influence of summer drought,  Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L04705, doi:10.1029/2005GL025050.  PDF (300 Kb).  Supporting materials are here (3.2 Mb).  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

2005 Rodriguez, R., A. Mabres, B. Luckman, M. Evans, M. Masiokas and T. Ektvedt*, “El Niño” events recorded in dry-forest species of the lowlands of northwest Peru, Dendrochronologia, 22, 181-187.  PDF  (561kb).  Copyright Elsevier Press.

2005 Evans, M.N., Review of Weather Cycles: Real or Imaginary?  (2nd ed.) by W.J. Burroughs, Cambridge University Press, 2003, 330p.  In Oceanography, 18(1), March, The Oceanography Society. PDF (179Kb).  Posted with permission of The Oceanography Society.

2004 Evans, M.N. and A. Kaplan, The Pacific sector Hadley and Walker Circulation in historical marine wind analyses: Potential for reconstruction from proxy data, in H.F. Diaz and R.S. Bradley (eds.), The Hadley Circulation: Past, Present, Future, Vol. 21 in: Advances in Global Change Research,  Springer (ISBN: 1-4020-2943-8), 511pp.  PDF (1.3Mb).  Copyright Springer-Verlag.

2004 Poussart, P.F., M.N. Evans and D.P. Schrag, Resolving seasonality in tropical trees: multi-decade, high-resolution oxygen and carbon isotopic records from Indonesia and Thailand, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 218, 301-316.  PDF (946Kb). Copyright Elsevier Press.

2004 Evans, M.N. and D.P. Schrag, A stable isotope-based approach to tropical dendroclimatology, Geochim. et Cosmochim. Acta, 68(16), 3295-3305, DOI: 10.1016/j.gca.2004.01.006 (Copyright 2004 Elsevier Ltd.). PDF (421Kb)Copyright Elsevier Press.

2002 Evans, M.N., Alexey Kaplan and Mark A. Cane, Pacific sea surface temperature field reconstruction from coral δ18O data using reduced space objective analysis, Paleoceanography, 17, DOI: 10.1029/2000PA000590.  PDF (1.4Mb)  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

2001 Evans, M.N., M.A. Cane, D.P. Schrag, Alexey Kaplan, B.K. Linsley, R. Villalba and G.M. Wellington, Support for tropically-driven Pacific decadal variability based on paleoproxy evidence, Geophysical Research Letters, 28, 3,689-3692. PDF (170Kb)  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

2001 Bond, G.C., B. Kromer, J. Beer, R. Muscheler, M.N. Evans, W. Showers, S. Hoffman, R. Lotti-Bond, I. Hajdas, and G. Bonani, Persistent Solar Influence on North Atlantic Climate During the Holocene, Science, 294, 2130-2136.  PDF (831Kb).  Copyright AAAS. 

2001 Evans, M.N., A. Kaplan, M.A. Cane and R. Villalba, 2001: Globality and Optimality in Climate Field Reconstructions from Proxy Data, in V. Markgraf (ed.), Interhemispheric Climate Linkages, Cambridge University Press, pp. 53-72.   PDF (4.5Mb).  Copyright Cambridge University Press.

2000 Cane, M.A. and M.N. Evans, Do the Tropics Rule? Science, 290, 1107-1108.  Copyright AAAS.

2000 Evans, M.N., A. Kaplan and M.A. Cane, Intercomparison of coral oxygen isotope data and historical sea surface temperature (SST): Potential for coral-based SST field reconstructions, Paleoceanography, 15(5): 551-563.   PDF (540Kb).  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

1999 Black, D.E., L.C. Peterson, J.T. Overpeck, A. Kaplan, M.N. Evans, and M. Kashgarian, M., Eight centuries of North Atlantic Ocean Atmosphere Variability, Science, 286, 1709-1713.   PDF (443Kb).  Copyright AAAS.

1999 Cook, E.R. and M.N. Evans, Improving estimates of drought variability and extremes from centuries-long tree ring chronologies: A PAGES/CLIVAR example, PAGES/CLIVAR Newsletter, 8(1):9-10.  PDF (188Kb).

1999 Evans, M.N., R.G. Fairbanks, and J.L. Rubenstone, The thermal oceanographic signal of ENSO reconstructed from a Kiritimati Island coral, J. Geophys. Res., 104, 13,409-13,421.  PDF (640Kb).  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

1999 Bond, G.C., W. Showers, M. Elliot, M. Evans, R. Lotti, and S.  Johnson, Tracing the North Atlantic's ~1.5 kyr Climate Cycle to 80 Kyrs B.P. - Relation to Heinrich Events, Dansgaard/Oeschger Cycles and the Little Ice Age, in Mechanisms of Global Climate Change at Millennial Time Scales, ed. P.U. Clark, R.S. Webb, and L.D. Keigwin. Washington, D.C.: American Geophysical Union, Geophysical Monograph Series, 112.  Copyright American Geophysical Union.

1998 Evans, M.N., A. Kaplan, and M.A. Cane, Optimal sites for coral-based reconstruction of global sea surface temperature, Paleoceanography 13: 502-516.  PDF (1.3Mb).  Copyright by the American Geophysical Union.

1998 Evans, M.N., R.G. Fairbanks and J.L. Rubenstone, A proxy index of ENSO teleconnections, Nature, 394, 732-3.  PDF (281Kb).  Copyright Macmillan Magazines Ltd.
1997 Fairbanks, R.G., M.N. Evans, J.L. Rubenstone, R.A. Mortlock, K. Broad, M.D. Moore, and C.D. Charles, Evaluating climate indices and their geochemical proxies measured in corals, Coral Reefs, 16(Suppl.), S93-S100.  PDF (440Kb).  Copyright Springer-Verlag.


Last updated November 28, 2016.